Tuesday, July 14, 2009

China to attack India by 2012?

By: Subhadeep Bhattacharjee

A leading defence expert has projected that China will attack India by 2012. Bharat Verma, Editor of the Indian Defence Review said that China will do this to divert the attention of its own people from "unprecedented" internal dissent. The Communist regime fears that growing unemployment and financial problems may lead to a mass uprising against it. A war with India may be a tactical solution to divert attention and hold the country together under its regime.

The recent violence between the Han Chinese and the Muslim Uighurs in Urumqi in the troubled Xinjiang province of China has exposed the seriousness of China's internal conflict. The world which hardly know what goes beyond the 'Great Wall' got a glimpse of the Chinese fundamentalists who are posing a serious threat to Chinese Communists regime. The Muslim Uighurs who are demanding for a separate nation in Northwest part of Xinjiang province for many years are rumoured to have links with the Al-Qaeda.

The Communist regime in China is now seeing early signs of decay. From the might Soviet Union to the countries behind the 'Iron Curtain' had seen similar signs before their fall in the early 90s. There is a growing dissent among the common Chinese against the regime and it is no longer a secret to the outside world. The regime's fear can be understood by the fact that they have sanitised the entire media including the internet and wants to control the content being written and read by the people.

With its internal security in turmoil a war with India might be a good option to unite the country. China has for long seen India as its biggest competitor in race for global supremacy by 2025. Time and again China has tried to neutralise India's race for global supremacy by issuing threats all along its eastern borders in Arunachal Pradesh and Sikkim and supporting Pakistan in its proxy war against India in the last two decades.

With Pakistan loosing teeth in its proxy war against India due to internal conflicts China might engage in a direct military conflict against India. China's race for supremacy doesn't allow it to have a vibrant economy in India couple with one of the largest defence force in the world. Also India's proximity with the United States and other Western European nations is becoming a major cause of worry for China. It also fears that the road to America's diplomacy might have to pass through India in the near future.

There is also a counter argument on this rumour and many believe this threat is deliberately spread by arms dealers to push India into a arms race. Which ever side may be correct on the issue small and localised military conflicts between the two Asian giants cannot be ruled out in the future. Pakistan's decay might make China and India match eyeballs all along the McMahon Line in the East. After all Power respects Power but Power cannot tolerate another Power.


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